Stories tagged with "hurricanes"

Looking Ahead - The Weekly Petroleum Inventory Reports

Posted by Nate Hagens on September 17, 2008 - 9:22am
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: doe, eia, hurricanes, ridiculously cheap rbob prices, shut-in production, twip, vlcc [list all tags]



VLCC Tanker - capable of transporting 2 million barrels

Tomorrow at 10:30 EDT we will get our first official report of crude/product inventories since Hurricane Ike and second since Hurricane Gustav. Below the fold are some brief thoughts on what has transpired in the past week, followed by an open thread.

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Nate's Reality Report Interview - Hurricanes, Financial Markets and Peak Oil

Posted by Gail the Actuary on September 15, 2008 - 9:16pm
Topic: Miscellaneous
Tags: hurricanes, jason bradford, nate hagens, original, peak oil, reality report [list all tags]

Last week, Nate Hagens was interviewed by Jason Bradford on the "Reality Report". The radio program is about 47 minutes long, and Nate's interview is the last 40% of it. A link to his interview can be found


here

The first part of the show is an interview with a woman who has been living without electric power since Hurricane Gustav hit. She talks about how the experience has changed her life, and about her thoughts regarding preparing for future energy shortages. The latter part of the show is an interview with Nate on various subjects related to hurricanes, the credit market, hedge funds, and peak oil. He talks a little about the Fannie and Freddie bailout, and about trying to change people's way of thinking about the future.

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Riders on the Storm: Stopping and Restarting Offshore Oil and Gas

Posted by JoulesBurn on September 8, 2008 - 7:15am
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: gulf of mexico, hurricane dennis, hurricane gustav, hurricane ike, hurricane katrina, hurricanes, offshore, original, production platforms, thunder horse [list all tags]

It has been five days since Hurricane Gustav blew through town, and industry is still working to restore the flow of oil and gas from offshore production platforms in the Gulf of Mexico:

Meanwhile, about 47 percent of more than 700 stationary offshore platforms in the Gulf of Mexico remained evacuated Friday, according to the Minerals Management Service in New Orleans. The agency also said that 34 of 121 oil rigs remained unmanned.

Under the fold the latest from the industry on the LOOP, Port Fourchon, and other infrastructural concerns.

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Gustav and the Louisana Offshore Oil Port -- What do we need to know?

Posted by JoulesBurn on September 2, 2008 - 9:12am
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: gulf of mexico, hurricane gustav, hurricanes, loop, louisiana offshore oil port, original, port fourchon [list all tags]

Hurricane Gustav has brushed by the Louisiana Offshore Oil Port (LOOP), where 1.2 million barrels of oil per day is offloaded from supertankers. Here is the recent trajectory of Gustav superimposed on a map of the LOOP area, including Port Fourchon, also of critical importance to the production of oil from the Gulf of Mexico.

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Hurricane Gustav, Energy Infrastructure & Production Impacts/Models (Updated!--Thread 2)

Posted by Nate Hagens on August 29, 2008 - 9:36am
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: chuck watson, energy infrastructure, gulf of mexico, hurricane gustav, hurricanes, methaz, original, shut-in production [list all tags]

(Welcome: we are now on a later and more updated thread, which can be found here: http://www.theoildrum.com/node/4478 NB: you may want to just go the front page (it will be post #1 or #2) to get to the most recent thread: http://theoildrum.com ...)

Hurricane Gustav is on its way. Damage to oil and gas infrastructure from this event is looking more and more likely on current track. Here are the latest damage graphs and updates from KAC/UCF. Update from Chuck Watson 9:24 EST (Next update Saturday 8/30)

Continuing westward shift: this based on the BAMD model, which is doing as well as the more sophisticated runs and is a lot faster (this run based the 8pm position and intensity estimates, so it's almost real time as opposed to waiting 3-4 hrs for GFDL or HWRF).

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Tropical Storm Edouard - Open Thread (Updated)

Posted by Nate Hagens on August 4, 2008 - 6:04pm
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: edouard, hurricanes, shut-in production, tropical storm [list all tags]

Tropical storm Edouard continues westward towards Texas. While likley not even a 'cane, there is still uncertainty regarding impact. Though it never reached hurricane level in the Gulf, there is potential for refinery flooding but this is currently being offset by futures contract flooding...;-) Below the fold is the latest estimates on the storms potential impact on shut-in production and refineries.

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Hurricane Dean's Impact on Oil Infrastructure

Posted by Khebab on August 20, 2007 - 8:30am
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: cantarell, gulf of mexico, hurricane dean, hurricanes, kmz, mexico [list all tags]

UPDATE: NEW UPDATED POST ON TOP OF FRONT PAGE AS OF 1:20am EDT, 8/21

This post is a collection of different Google Earth based mashups of various weather data, oil infrastructure overlays and excellent impact maps established by Chuck Watson (see also PG's post for a list of resources on Mexico oil infrastructure). The list of Google Earth files (kml/kmz files) used in this post can be find on my blog. There is now a good likelihood that Dean will impact significantly the Cantarell and the KMZ oil complex which constitute the backbone of the Mexican production.


I will try to update this post during the day as soon as new forecasts are available.
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Where Are the Hurricanes?

Posted by Dave Cohen on August 24, 2006 - 1:40pm
Topic: Miscellaneous
Tags: hurricanes, national hurricane center, typhoons [list all tags]

[Update by Dave Cohen on 08/24/06 at 12:06 PM EDT] You can read the latest on the hurricanes and climate debate at realclimate.org—Fact, Fiction, and Friction in the Hurricane Debate. The story is by two distinguished climate scientists, Gavin Schmidt and Michael Mann.

What a difference a year makes. Last year at this time, Katrina was bearing down on the Gulf of Mexico and Rita was still in the future. The Oil Drum's traffic was way up as our editors and commentors provided up to the minute coverage.

Today, the National Hurricane Center is tracking Debbie, the 4th named storm of 2006. When Katrina hit, it was "the eleventh named storm, fifth hurricane, third major hurricane, and second Category 5 hurricane of the 2005 Atlantic season."

Where are the hurricanes?

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The progress of Alberto

Posted by Heading Out on June 12, 2006 - 12:52pm
Topic: Miscellaneous
Tags: gulf of mexico, hurricanes, tropical storm alberto [list all tags]

Just to bring Stuart's information back to the top. The National Hurricane Center has changed the forecast for Alberto.
...AIR FORCE PLANE FINDS ALBERTO LOCATED FARTHER TO THE NORTHEAST AND STRONGER...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO ENGLEWOOD...AND WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

The path remains fairly similar to that shown by Stuart, but for 5-days it looks like this:

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When the Hurricanes Come

Posted by Stuart Staniford on June 10, 2006 - 12:36pm
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: hurricanes, peak oil [list all tags]

Now that the hurricane season had started, I wanted to know if there's much chance of one in June. Not really, it turns out:

Average number of storm tracks (any category) on a given day in each month over the period 1851-2005. Source: NOAA NHC.

Update [2006-6-10 13:36:2 by Stuart Staniford]: Well, what do you know - here's Tropical Depression One:

Update [2006-6-11 18:12:55 by Stuart Staniford]: Now Tropical Storm Alberto.

Projected three day track of tropical depression ONE. Source: NOAA NHC.

Update [2006-6-12 12:48:38 by Stuart Staniford]: "ALBERTO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS."

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